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The Voices of Austin Poll (1Q2020)

Interested in how we listened to the voices of Austin’s majority?

The Voices of Austin Poll was supervised by Executive Director William “Peck” Young, a veteran with 40 years in political polling. The VofA Poll was statistically accurate, with a truly random sample of Austin registered voters, which was appropriately distributed amongst our 10 single member districts. Such a scientific methodology, professionally executed, separates a real poll, like the Voice of Austin Poll, from self-selected, inherently biased surveys like online polls.

KEY METHODOLOGIES

Sample: Registered voters. Travis County has 95% of eligible-to-vote voters registered and most live within Austin city limits.

Sample size: 401 registered voters. Sample sizes of 400 or 1,000 are industry standards, the only difference being the margin of error in the poll. A sample size of 400 was chosen for efficiency, trading off a slightly larger margin of error.  A sample size of 400 reliably produces a 5% margin of error, with a confidence 95%. A sample size of 1,000 produces a 3% margin of error with the same confidence level. The poll measured such large margins that the difference in margin of error (5% versus 3%) was not significant.

Rotation of question structure: Done to eliminate bias.

Sample Demographics: The VofA Poll’s participants were randomly selected within sample characteristics to model Austin registered voters’ political affiliation, race and ethnicity, age, and gender. Specifically:

POLITICAL AFFILIATION
Democrat
63%
Republican27%
Independent7%
Unsure5%
RACE AND ETHNICITY
White 70%
Hispanic/Latino 18%
African American/Black7%
Asian 3%
Other7%
Refused6%

Note:  Percentages add up to over 100% because of Race and Hispanic/Latino intersectionality.

AGE
18-3427%
34-4419%
45-5416%
55-6415%
65+19%
Refused4%
GENDER
Female54%
Male46%

SELECTED POLL QUESTIONS AND RESULTS EXAMPLES

Most current mode used for commuting: Which one of the following do you use most for commuting or traveling locally? (“Use most” and “Use next most”)

Drive or get driven by car 92%
Take Metro Services such as a bus 15%
Take rideshare services 39%
Bike6%
Walk24%
Other 5%
None/Don’t go out 15%
Unsure2%

Are your commute and drive times better since Austin voters approved the one billion dollars in transportation bonds in 2016? 

Yes14%
No67%
Unsure/Refused10%

Should Austin’s land development code: (choices below were rotated to eliminate bias)

Permit developers to concentrate on high rise density in specific, limited locations such as downtown and The Domain
59%
Give land developers the ability to create density in any and all neighborhoods
23%
Depends (volunteered answer when presented the above two choices)
7%
Unsure/Refused (volunteered answer when presented the above two choices)
12%

Are you (Version A: very concerned, somewhat concerned, or not concerned / Version B. not concerned, somewhat concerned, or very concerned) that Austin is 400 officers short of the authorized strength that experts report is needed to properly protect citizens?

Ver AVer BTotal
43%43%43%Very concerned
39%38%38%Somewhat concerned
82%81%82%TOTAL CONCERNED

Having heard more, are you (Ver A: very concerned, somewhat concerned, or not concerned / Ver. B: not concerned, somewhat concerned, or very concerned) about the way things are going in Austin?

Ver AVer BTotal
37%40%39%Very concerned
43%42%42%Somewhat concerned
80%82%81%TOTAL CONCERNED
15%15%15%Not Concerned
2%0%1%Depends/other
3%3%3%Unsure/refused